Seminar: Model-based design of adaptive pathways for framing climate adaption

Kan Kwakkel is an Associate Professor at Delft University of Technology.

His research focusses on model based approaches to support decision making in complex uncertain systems. He is an expert in many objective robust decision making, and the use of adaptation pathways.
He has applied his research in a variety of domains including fresh water supply, flood risk, air transport, sea transport, global logistics, and national safety and security.
He is the vice president for the society for decision making under deep uncertainty. and is the lead developer of the exploratory modelling workbench, which is an open source library for applying a variety of model-based scenario techniques.

When? Wednesday 13/12, 4-5pm

Where? Engineering & Maths EMG06, Adelaide University

Abstract: Adaptation pathways has emerged as one of the preferred ways of framing the climate adaptation challenge. Climate adaptation is approached as a sequential decision-making process, yoked to an evolving knowledge base. This enables dynamic adaptation over time in response to changing climatological and socio-economic conditions.

In the Netherlands, the adaptation pathway approach is foundational for the Delta Program, which is enshrined in the Delta Law, and has an annual budget of 1.2 billion euros. In this talk, he will introduce the adaptation pathway approach and how it emerged in the Netherland, he will then discuss the challenges one faces when designing adaptation pathways.
Climate adaptation involves a variety of stakeholders and decision-makers at different scales, is subject to a wide variety of deeply uncertain factors, and involves intervening in a complex socio-environmental system.

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