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Data Wrap – Another disappointing jobs market report in spite of improved business confidence

In this edition of the Data Wrap we find a silver lining in another round of disappointing labour market figures, a familiar story regarding wages growth, and positive news on business confidence in South Australia. The latest inflation outcomes for local government are also considered.   Employment growth remains stalled but full-time employment grows solidly South Australia’s recent [...]

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A decade on, the same story on the Murray-Darling Basin – Peter Gill & Michael O’Neil

A decade ago the eminent Australian water scientist, the late Peter Cullen, lamented the declining technical expertise in water management in government agencies while highlighting the need for good science to underpin decision-making about the nation’s water resources. In a 2007 Issues Paper for the SA Centre for Economic Studies (SACES), published shortly before his death, [...]

New SACES fund boosts relevant research

The SA Centre for Economic Studies (SACES) will further strengthen its contribution to public policy development in South Australia with the establishment of the Independent Research Fund (IRF). The IRF, a collaborative venture between SACES, the University of Adelaide and prominent members of the business community, will analyse some of the most challenging issues facing the [...]

Economic survey points to bleaker times post-election

by Peter Martin, The Conversation The Australian economy will remain healthy for long enough to enable the government to claim it as a strength in the lead-up to the May election, but the first Conversation Economic Survey points to a fairly flat outlook beyond that, with a 25% chance of a recession in the next two [...]

SA Data Wrap – employment growth remains stagnant

In the first Data Wrap of 2019 we review yesterday’s Labour Force Survey figures and consider leading indicators of residential construction activity for South Australia. Unemployment rate edges higher as employment levels remain flat Jobs growth in South Australia stalled in the second half of 2018 and latest Labour Force Survey estimates from the ABS show no [...]

Slower growth in SA economy predicted for 2018/19

University of Adelaide economists say that they expect the South Australian economy to continue growing in 2018/19. However, growth expectations have been revised down during the course of 2018, as a consequence of slower growth internationally and nationally, and because of slow household income growth in South Australia. The University’s South Australian Centre for Economic Studies (SACES) [...]

A new life for Whyalla – Michael O’Neil and Peter Gill

Whyalla’s ‘death notice’ has been written a number of times over the past 40 years, beginning with the closure of the shipyards in 1978, continuing with predictions of doom in the lead-up to the carbon tax, and most recently, as what was once the BHP steelworks clung to life, suffocating in debt and despair under [...]

Populate or perish – revisited, by Michael O’Neil and Peter Gill

When Australia’s first immigration minister, Arthur Calwell, declared Australia needed to “populate or perish” he was making a statement about the country’s vulnerability to invasion in the immediate aftermath of the Second World War. While the context has changed, the recently published ABS population projections to 2066 underscores an ongoing vulnerability. However, this time, to take [...]

SA Data Wrap – Spending growth slows as national house prices fall

Spending growth slows Quarterly National Accounts data released by the ABS this week indicate that spending growth in South Australia has slowed through the course of the year. Quarterly growth in state final demand (SFD) in real trend terms slowed from 0.8 per cent in the March quarter to 0.4 per cent in the September quarter. [...]

SA Data Wrap – GSP growth recovery continues in 2017/18; local government price inflation moderates

State Accounts Today the ABS released its annual State Accounts publication for financial year 2017/18. This publication provides the most detailed report available on the South Australian economy in aggregate; the ABS quarterly publications are less detailed. South Australia’s gross state product (GSP) grew by 2.0 per cent in 2017/18, compared with 2.8 per cent growth in [...]